Thursday night’s program from Hollywood Park includes a pair of turf races and the feature is the $60,000 Le Cle Stakes for grassy 3-year-old fillies. Grade 1 winner Crisp is the 2-1 morning line favorite in her turf bow. Sunny skies are expected with a high temperature of 71.
A recent comment from winning in VA Beach suggested that I cover the Place Pick All. I enjoy that wager and have included a ticket following my opening race analysis.
Degree of Difficulty: Moderate. On a scale of 1 to 10, the Thursday pick six from Hollywood Park rates a 5.
Possible Singles: Carrie Rose (4th race), Adam Suances (5th race)
Jarrod Horak’s Hollywood Park Pick 6 analysis – Thursday, July 1, 2010
Hollywood Park Race 1 (Mcl-40k, 2yo, 5f) #2 Liquid Asset (2-1) earned a field best 93 Bris Pace Rating in his local five furlong bow. He can move forward for a profitable second timer outfit and is probably the one to catch. #8 Certainly Certain (5-2) pressed the pace before fading in state bred MSW debut June 23. He hails from a sharp juvenile outfit and seemingly fits well here. The Plays: $1 Place Pick All 2-8/1-3/2-9/2/6/11/2-7/2-3 ($32)
Hollywood Park Race 2 (OC-25/1x, CA-bred 3up, 6T) I have been tabbing #1 Danzing Tribal (5-2) lately and will give him another whirl. He improved at a flat mile last time and graduated in a turf sprint. The rail post is clicking at a 24% rate and Martin Garcia is enjoying a productive meet. #3 Pack Your Bags (2-1) has fired big shots in three straight and is an obvious threat under Bejarano. #6 Detroit Donnie (3-1) earned best last race Final Time Rating on Cushion Track. The speedy gelding tries turf and looms the target.
Hollywood Park Race 3 (Mcl-40k, 2yo, 5f) #2 Swiss Hero (5-2) ran well in local bow and hails from the same connections as race two contender Detroit Donnie. #5 On A Hi (3-1) earned quality numbers in all three starts and finished a head in front of Swiss Hero last time. #9 Bigmikeistheman (2-1) finished an above par 3rd in local bow vs. similar. He disappointed in the straight Maiden ranks second time out and is back in a tight spot. #8 Wild And True (6-1) is out of a promising win early sire and Talamo/Dollase are 2-for-3 together recently.
Hollywood Park Race 4 (MSW, CA-bred f&m 3up, 6f) #2 Carrie Rose (8-5) dueled through above par splits and showed marked improvement off the shelf in her second start. She is the one to beat if able to uncork a similar effort. #3 Fullbridled’s Sis (3-1) was a neck behind my top last time and should make presence felt throughout. Powell is only 4% 2nd off the shelf while my top’s trainer Mike Mitchell is 20% in that situation.
Hollywood Park Race 5 (Alw-1x, CA-bred 3up, 8.5f) #6 Adam Suances (5-2) was nostrilized at the unusual 7.5f distance here last out. The versatile sort clearly does his best work over Cushion Track and Vienna is enjoying a fine meet. #1 Low Gear Power (5-2) was in fine form before going to the sidelines last September. Mitchell excels with this type of returnee and Bejarano is 60% (6-10) with this outfit recently. #2 My Boy Walsh (5-1) and #4 Yvett’s Song (7-2) are both early-pressing surface switching threats for cold barns.
Hollywood Park Race 6 (Clm-12.5/2L, f&m 3up, 6f) #11 Gotham Spirit (4-1) has landed the place in three straight vs. similar and earned a strong Final Time Rating here last time. An outside tactical trip seems likely. #7 Hit The Brix (9-2) smartly graduated in local bow here and disappointed in three starts since. The fresh miss has been stabled here all along and could rebound at her favorite venue.
Hollywood Park Race 7 (Le Cle Stakes, 3yo fil, 8T) #2 It Tiz (5-2) looked good in course/distance return and the place finisher came back to score. A ground saving tactical trip is anticipated. #7 Crisp (2-1) has been on a steady Grade 1 diet and beat Blind Luck at Santa Anita in March. She reunites with Rosario, tries turf, and must be respected on class.
Hollywood Park Race 8 (Mcl-25k, 3up, 5.5f) #2 Speedy Marini (5-2) landed the show in three straight and the place finishers from his last pair both came back to score. #3 Single Shot (5-2) finished fast after a troubled start off the shelf second time out. Bonde is clicking at the current stand and he’s an obvious threat. He sports a local bullet for this. #6 Why Trust (6-1) is a $130,000 purchase with a local gate bullet. I find it interesting that Rosario ends up here.
Pick 6 Spread Ticket Calculator courtesy of Del Mar website (click tickets to enlarge)